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Red120
80934.0
111336.7
Blue15
13949.9
114341.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515002040608010012012015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1113
Unranked
36.78.9
10.819.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
1143
Unranked
41.14.6
28.924.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
809
Unranked
34.05.3
38.043.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.0
1394
Unranked
9.94.6
23.018.4
Auto
Teleop
End