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Red80
7529.3
56329.2
Blue110
8742.8
38139.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5587010015020025080110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
Unranked
29.31.6
33.835.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.5
87
Unranked
42.82.6
45.748.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
563
Unranked
29.21.6
24.626.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.9
381
Unranked
39.12.2
38.140.3
Auto
Teleop
End