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Red80
7529.3
114341.1
Blue65
81631.9
61817.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75410501001502008065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1143
Unranked
41.10.9
40.741.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
816
Unranked
31.92.5
29.431.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
75
Unranked
29.30.6
31.031.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
618
Unranked
17.82.2
15.617.8
Auto
Teleop
End