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Red130
138428.6
34132.8
Blue20
4339.9
8742.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4768010015020013020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
Unranked
32.86.1
29.235.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
87
Unranked
42.83.4
50.447.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1384
Unranked
28.68.8
19.828.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.7
433
Unranked
9.95.3
15.29.9
Auto
Teleop
End