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Red15
48636.7
101432.9
Blue100
38222.2
526.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions633105010015020015100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
Unranked
36.75.5
31.125.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
5
Unranked
26.18.2
13.521.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1014
Unranked
32.95.5
28.122.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
382
Unranked
22.28.2
21.229.3
Auto
Teleop
End