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Red60
125.8
18822.3
Blue5
1178.4
124310.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412606080100120140160605

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1
Unranked
25.82.6
13.015.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.7
1243
Unranked
10.12.8
19.716.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
188
Unranked
22.32.6
26.328.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.9
117
Unranked
8.42.8
7.64.8
Auto
Teleop
End