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Red30
84125.4
69211.2
Blue15
138716.8
107218.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422901001503015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
Unranked
25.41.3
25.624.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
1072
Unranked
18.22.0
16.514.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
692
Unranked
11.21.3
15.013.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
1387
Unranked
16.82.0
14.312.3
Auto
Teleop
End