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Red50
82711.2
94563.3
Blue70
96128.2
11416.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71380501001502005070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
945
Unranked
63.31.5
57.556.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 35.1
961
Unranked
28.23.6
23.527.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
827
Unranked
11.22.2
10.28.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
114
Unranked
16.53.6
17.821.3
Auto
Teleop
End