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Red5
11517.7
113816.2
Blue30
11416.5
82711.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3329050100150530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
Unranked
17.73.4
18.014.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
114
Unranked
16.50.1
21.321.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1138
Unranked
16.23.4
14.511.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
827
Unranked
11.20.1
8.08.1
Auto
Teleop
End