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Red80
115128.9
25452.9
Blue20
83318.7
6247.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61390501001502008020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
Unranked
52.92.6
32.835.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 34.2
833
Unranked
18.72.7
27.925.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1151
Unranked
28.91.9
26.128.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.6
624
Unranked
7.32.7
13.911.2
Auto
Teleop
End