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Red25
114711.5
132319.6
Blue20
142527.1
109713.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284502060801001201401602520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1323
Unranked
19.60.6
20.319.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
1425
Unranked
27.11.7
29.127.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1147
Unranked
11.50.6
9.79.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1097
Unranked
13.92.9
13.911.0
Auto
Teleop
End