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Red35
83318.7
138716.8
Blue15
95525.0
82711.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33340102040506070803515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
833
Unranked
18.70.1
22.622.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
955
Unranked
25.01.4
24.923.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1387
Unranked
16.80.1
11.211.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
827
Unranked
11.22.3
8.36.1
Auto
Teleop
End