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Red140
94563.3
25452.9
Blue25
83548.7
11517.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11755010015020025030014025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
945
Unranked
63.32.2
58.760.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.6
835
Unranked
48.73.1
51.448.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
254
Unranked
52.93.7
52.055.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 35.3
115
Unranked
17.74.6
10.76.1
Auto
Teleop
End