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Red70
115128.9
142527.1
Blue50
84125.4
96128.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535601001502002507050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1151
Unranked
28.91.2
26.227.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
961
Unranked
28.20.7
30.229.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1425
Unranked
27.11.2
27.328.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
841
Unranked
25.40.8
25.925.1
Auto
Teleop
End