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Red5
70113.2
69211.2
Blue65
48020.3
109713.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3228020406080100120565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
Unranked
13.23.1
18.915.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
480
Unranked
20.34.2
17.722.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
692
Unranked
11.23.1
12.89.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
1097
Unranked
13.94.2
11.015.3
Auto
Teleop
End