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Red40
41835.3
12149.0
Blue70
46227.5
144214.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27310204060801001201404070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
Unranked
35.31.6
16.317.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
462
Unranked
27.54.9
14.919.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1214
Unranked
9.01.6
11.112.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
1442
Unranked
14.74.9
16.121.0
Auto
Teleop
End