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Red50
64413.5
44614.1
Blue110
14827.1
120118.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3045020608010012014016050110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
446
Unranked
14.12.3
15.217.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.0
148
Unranked
27.18.4
30.538.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
644
Unranked
13.52.3
16.218.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
1201
Unranked
18.38.4
12.721.0
Auto
Teleop
End