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Red60
92222.3
125520.9
Blue30
11815.6
44115.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423602060806030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
922
Unranked
22.32.4
24.126.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
441
Unranked
15.90.9
13.412.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1255
Unranked
20.92.4
17.019.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
118
Unranked
15.60.9
23.622.7
Auto
Teleop
End