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Red35
66013.3
47637.9
Blue15
62418.1
147913.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions532704060801001201403515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
476
Unranked
37.91.9
31.629.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.8
624
Unranked
18.11.1
14.513.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
660
Unranked
13.31.9
18.616.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1479
Unranked
13.51.8
14.813.0
Auto
Teleop
End