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Red45
14298.2
49915.2
Blue115
129625.8
31931.9
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions216005010015045115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
499
Unranked
15.22.5
13.916.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.8
319
Unranked
31.94.4
29.734.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1429
Unranked
8.22.5
11.413.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.6
1296
Unranked
25.84.4
26.330.7
Auto
Teleop
End