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Red30
148414.0
148021.5
Blue5
43420.6
144821.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37480100150305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1480
Unranked
21.51.0
25.224.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1448
Unranked
21.55.2
22.717.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1484
Unranked
14.01.0
13.012.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
434
Unranked
20.65.2
24.219.0
Auto
Teleop
End