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Red70
64413.5
64738.9
Blue40
144214.7
149017.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5834020801001201407040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
647
Unranked
38.91.7
38.139.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.5
1490
Unranked
17.30.4
17.718.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
644
Unranked
13.51.8
17.319.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
1442
Unranked
14.70.4
18.719.1
Auto
Teleop
End