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Red130
46227.5
47637.9
Blue25
14728.6
23118.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59270408010012014016013025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
476
Unranked
37.99.3
29.739.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.2
231
Unranked
18.60.7
18.818.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
462
Unranked
27.58.7
25.734.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.9
1472
Unranked
8.60.7
11.510.8
Auto
Teleop
End