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Red30
97739.9
30820.5
Blue45
117221.1
3337.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403902060801003045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
977
Unranked
39.91.1
18.617.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
33
Unranked
37.00.7
21.722.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
308
Unranked
20.51.1
20.619.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1172
Unranked
21.10.7
17.718.4
Auto
Teleop
End