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Red15
82525.8
109518.4
Blue30
61717.6
113214.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414102060801001530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
825
Unranked
25.83.2
20.417.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
617
Unranked
17.61.5
19.718.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1095
Unranked
18.43.2
20.317.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
1132
Unranked
14.51.5
21.920.5
Auto
Teleop
End