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Red80
62333.8
43534.5
Blue50
53910.0
33931.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4444203040506070808050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
Unranked
34.54.5
18.022.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
339
Unranked
31.00.7
24.925.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
623
Unranked
33.84.5
25.930.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.8
539
Unranked
10.00.7
19.320.0
Auto
Teleop
End