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Red5
122218.7
97528.8
Blue0
41414.8
141324.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373305010015020025050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
975
Unranked
28.83.9
23.920.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
1413
Unranked
24.24.2
18.013.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1222
Unranked
18.73.9
12.68.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
414
Unranked
14.84.2
15.911.7
Auto
Teleop
End