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Red20
38827.0
141722.7
Blue30
40124.3
42220.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373602060801002030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
388
Unranked
27.02.0
17.915.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
401
Unranked
24.30.8
17.416.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1417
Unranked
22.76.5
22.716.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
422
Unranked
20.90.8
19.318.5
Auto
Teleop
End