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Red20
51017.8
61913.6
Blue0
92629.8
109313.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3630050100150200250200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
510
Unranked
17.81.9
20.618.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.1
926
Unranked
29.83.8
14.410.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
619
Unranked
13.61.9
14.913.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1093
Unranked
13.33.8
16.112.3
Auto
Teleop
End