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Red105
57141.4
130737.4
Blue120
81123.5
128940.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8063050100150200250105120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
571
Unranked
41.42.0
48.450.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1289
Unranked
40.35.0
39.044.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1307
Unranked
37.42.6
30.132.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.0
811
Unranked
23.54.1
26.030.2
Auto
Teleop
End