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Red120
13149.2
17342.3
Blue140
135032.2
18147.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8577050100150200250120140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
Unranked
49.23.6
49.252.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
181
Unranked
47.34.7
46.851.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
173
Unranked
42.32.7
35.137.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
1350
Unranked
32.24.7
31.035.6
Auto
Teleop
End