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Red25
81123.5
112420.6
Blue75
128940.3
80924.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587401001502002502575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
811
Unranked
23.52.6
30.227.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.8
1289
Unranked
40.30.2
44.044.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1124
Unranked
20.62.9
29.426.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
809
Unranked
24.20.2
28.128.3
Auto
Teleop
End