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Red45
18147.3
17342.3
Blue135
130737.4
13149.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions908505015020025045135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
Unranked
47.33.3
51.448.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
131
Unranked
49.24.5
52.857.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
173
Unranked
42.33.3
37.834.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
1307
Unranked
37.44.5
32.837.3
Auto
Teleop
End