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Red110
9640.2
110033.1
Blue30
56227.4
83917.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6750010015020011030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96
Unranked
40.23.4
33.136.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.9
562
Unranked
27.41.6
30.028.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1100
Unranked
33.14.1
31.835.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.7
839
Unranked
17.41.6
21.920.3
Auto
Teleop
End