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Red80
15735.3
46728.8
Blue85
23642.8
17638.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67920501502002508085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
Unranked
35.30.8
39.840.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
236
Unranked
42.80.3
49.849.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
467
Unranked
28.80.8
30.130.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
176
Unranked
38.10.3
39.839.5
Auto
Teleop
End