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Red58
22815.5
17319.6
35916.8
Blue32
61211.1
52711.5
9319.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions522104060801001201401605832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
Unranked
19.60.5
18.118.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
527
Unranked
11.50.6
7.48.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
359
Unranked
16.80.5
14.414.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
612
Unranked
11.10.6
7.48.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
228
Unranked
15.50.5
15.516.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
931
Unranked
9.10.3
10.210.5
Auto
Teleop
End