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Red50
144413.9
134510.4
71616.4
Blue16
123010.3
15479.3
128612.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30260204060801001205016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
Unranked
16.41.0
14.115.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
1286
Unranked
12.80.5
10.810.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1444
Unranked
13.91.7
6.58.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
1230
Unranked
10.30.5
8.98.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1345
Unranked
10.41.0
9.310.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1547
Unranked
9.30.6
7.36.7
Auto
Teleop
End