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Red16
16679.2
13752.5
1562-0.8
Blue33
16912.7
66217.6
15833.2
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9270204060801633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1667
Unranked
9.20.4
5.55.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.4
662
Unranked
17.60.7
17.418.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1375
Unranked
2.50.4
2.73.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1583
Unranked
3.20.7
3.94.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1562
Unranked
-0.80.4
2.93.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
1691
Unranked
2.70.7
3.34.0
Auto
Teleop
End