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Red0
16700.0
15528.1
13482.7
Blue10
8332.8
13618.6
8747.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1317020304050010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1552
Unranked
8.11.1
11.210.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1361
Unranked
8.60.5
8.78.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1348
Unranked
2.71.1
1.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
874
Unranked
7.20.5
4.43.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1670
Unranked
0.01.1
0.6-0.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
833
Unranked
2.80.5
3.32.8
Auto
Teleop
End