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Red65
14102.7
66217.6
6411.9
Blue8
16536.6
144810.0
13323.1
69%Model gave it31%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30170406080100658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
662
Unranked
17.63.1
18.121.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
1448
Unranked
10.00.8
10.29.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
64
Unranked
11.93.1
9.012.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
1653
Unranked
6.60.8
5.54.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1410
Unranked
2.73.1
1.34.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1332
Unranked
3.10.8
2.41.6
Auto
Teleop
End