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Red4
15833.2
8332.8
13775.8
Blue14
11581.7
4435.1
12458.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1420010304050414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1377
Unranked
5.80.9
5.84.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
1245
Unranked
8.10.4
10.510.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1583
Unranked
3.20.9
4.43.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
443
Unranked
5.10.4
7.16.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
833
Unranked
2.80.9
4.73.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1158
Unranked
1.70.4
1.41.0
Auto
Teleop
End