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Red3
23620.8
15711.1
8395.2
Blue22
13736.2
7169.7
9056.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23140103040506070322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
Unranked
20.81.6
9.47.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
716
Unranked
9.70.6
7.48.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
157
Unranked
11.11.6
8.36.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
905
Unranked
6.90.6
2.63.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
839
Unranked
5.21.6
4.22.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1373
Unranked
6.20.6
4.65.2
Auto
Teleop
End