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Red10
1789.9
5216.1
17315.5
Blue0
14931.9
2307.5
16852.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2611020406080100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
Unranked
15.51.2
14.012.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
230
Unranked
7.51.1
2.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
178
Unranked
9.91.2
5.74.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
1685
Unranked
2.31.1
4.23.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
521
Unranked
6.11.2
5.13.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
1493
Unranked
1.91.1
5.94.8
Auto
Teleop
End