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Red15
4995.2
16106.9
10332.7
Blue12
5292.2
9679.4
15273.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131604060801512

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1610
Unranked
6.90.2
1.71.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
967
Unranked
9.40.3
8.17.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
499
Unranked
5.20.1
5.35.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1527
Unranked
3.40.2
3.63.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1033
Unranked
2.70.2
6.16.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
529
Unranked
2.20.3
4.23.9
Auto
Teleop
End