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Red35
31220.6
61411.9
12163.6
Blue36
1318.9
10729.8
8325.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281401020405060703536

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
312
Unranked
20.60.4
19.119.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
1072
Unranked
9.81.0
7.78.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
614
Unranked
11.90.7
4.95.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
131
Unranked
8.91.7
5.87.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1216
Unranked
3.60.4
2.32.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
832
Unranked
5.71.3
1.93.1
Auto
Teleop
End