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Red16
70315.7
13507.2
10332.7
Blue57
8325.7
90414.4
739.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332004060801001201657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
703
Unranked
15.71.1
14.113.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
904
Unranked
14.41.8
13.315.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1350
Unranked
7.21.3
11.510.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
73
Unranked
9.42.9
5.48.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1033
Unranked
2.71.3
6.24.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
832
Unranked
5.71.9
3.15.1
Auto
Teleop
End