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Red30
5963.1
76810.6
11885.5
Blue39
4995.2
31220.6
13984.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133302040506070803039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
768
Unranked
10.61.2
8.29.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.9
312
Unranked
20.60.4
19.620.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1188
Unranked
5.50.7
6.57.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
499
Unranked
5.20.4
5.45.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
596
Unranked
3.10.7
0.51.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
1398
Unranked
4.90.4
5.55.9
Auto
Teleop
End