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Red20
3017.5
1840.1
4066.9
Blue10
942.0
57.0
1234.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2014010304050602010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
301
Unranked
7.50.1
6.16.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
5
Unranked
7.00.4
6.15.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
406
Unranked
6.90.1
6.96.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
123
Unranked
4.50.4
5.04.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
184
Unranked
0.10.1
5.96.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
94
Unranked
2.00.4
3.53.1
Auto
Teleop
End