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Red19
12161.9
46912.6
4400.1
Blue25
5197.3
24520.6
15081.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions231401020304050601925

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
Unranked
12.60.2
13.113.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
245
Unranked
20.60.8
6.77.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1216
Unranked
1.90.3
3.93.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
519
Unranked
7.30.5
7.47.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
440
Unranked
0.10.3
5.14.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
1508
Unranked
1.80.8
0.91.7
Auto
Teleop
End