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Red30
21713.5
8182.9
49413.0
Blue32
14766.3
50312.8
12507.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26250102030405060703032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
Unranked
13.50.3
5.55.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
503
Unranked
12.80.4
13.113.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
494
Unranked
13.00.3
14.715.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
1250
Unranked
7.40.4
7.78.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
818
Unranked
2.90.2
6.16.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
1476
Unranked
6.30.6
3.94.5
Auto
Teleop
End